The Lock-In Effect Is Real, But It Is Not Permanent
There is no question that the rate difference between what you have and what is available today creates a real financial gap. If you locked in at 3 percent and the market was sitting at 6.5 or 7 percent, the jump in your monthly payment could be hard to swallow, even if you were buying a similar home.
But here is what has changed. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate just dropped below 6 percent for the first time in roughly three and a half years. As of last week, it closed at 5.98 percent. That is nearly a full percentage point lower than where it was a year ago. And many buyers are locking in rates below that number depending on their credit and loan type.
The gap between your current rate and what you would get today is the smallest it has been since 2022. And it may continue to narrow.
Your Equity Changes the Equation
The piece of this puzzle that a lot of homeowners overlook is equity. If you bought your home in Murfreesboro three or four years ago, there is a good chance your home has appreciated significantly. In many cases, homeowners are sitting on tens of thousands of dollars in equity that they did not have when they first purchased.
That equity can do a lot of heavy lifting. It can increase your down payment on your next home, which lowers your loan amount, which lowers your monthly payment. In some cases, the combination of a larger down payment and current rates can get you to a monthly payment that is closer to what you are paying now than you might think.
The only way to know for sure is to run the numbers on your specific situation. That is exactly what we do in our free consultations at the Turner Victory Team.
What the Market Is Telling Us Right Now
Right now in Rutherford County, new listings are coming in slower than expected. One of the reasons is this exact lock-in effect. Homeowners are staying put because they do not want to give up their rate. But the result is that buyer demand is outpacing new listings, which means sellers who do list right now are facing less competition.
This week there were 131 homes that went under contract in Rutherford County and only 119 new listings. Homes in Murfreesboro are selling at 100 percent of list price with a median of just 20 days on the market. That is a strong market for sellers.
It Is Not Just About the Rate
Here is the thing that gets lost in the rate conversation. Your mortgage rate is one number in a much bigger picture. There are plenty of reasons people need or want to move that have nothing to do with interest rates. Maybe you need more space. Maybe your kids changed schools. Maybe you got a new job. Maybe you are downsizing after the kids moved out.
If your life has changed but you are staying in a home that no longer fits because of a number on a piece of paper, it is worth at least looking at what a move would actually cost you. You might find that the gap is smaller than you thought. And if it is not the right time, at least you will know that based on real numbers, not just a feeling.
How to Find Out Where You Stand
The best thing you can do is get the facts. Sit down with someone who can walk you through the numbers for your specific home, your specific equity position, and your specific goals. That is what we do at the Turner Victory Team. We are not going to pressure you to sell. We are going to show you the data, walk through the possible outcomes, and help you make a decision that makes sense for you.
If you want to see what your home is worth and what a move might look like financially, reach out. We have been helping neighbors across Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, and all of Rutherford County since 2000. You can also watch this week's market update video for more on where rates and the overall market stand right now.
Call or text John Turner at 615-586-0900, email john@turnervictory.com, or visit turnervictory.com.
